![]() Perhaps he started doing it because his fastball (.421 slugging) and curve (.500 slugging) haven’t been performing well against lefties, but he definitely shouldn’t be doing it against righties, where most of his weapons are doing just fine. Why is he doing this? It’s super strange because he’s not doing for a swinging-strike weapon against lefties, as his change functions well against them. 636 slugging from righties, and the Stuff+ model doesn’t like it. He is throwing it inside to lefties, but also to this spot against righties. 300 slugging so far … it’s a really good arsenal still! Strange, and it gets stranger if you look under the hood, as he has a really good four-seam (104 Stuff+, average is 99), a good slider (102 Stuff+, below average against sliders but still fine), a plus curve (116 Stuff+, 27th-best among starters), and an average change (97 Stuff+) that has allowed a. Grayson Rodriguez, BaltimoreĪfter elite Stuff+ numbers in the minor leagues, and even in his debut, Rodriguez is settling in with league-average Stuff+. ![]() This could be an easy fix, and Detmers is generally throwing well if you look past the ERA. He should probably aim a few inches further out. Of course, this is where the rest of the league’s lefties are throwing their zero-count gyro sliders to lefties. Maybe that spot in the zone is not a good one, because 88+ mph sliders from lefties to lefties this year in those counts have produced a. This is where he’s throwing the pitch in those situations. 571 batting average and 1.000 slugging on his slider. In zero-ball counts to lefties, they have a. His type of slider - a tight, hard ‘gyro slider’ - should be effective against both lefties and righties, but Detmers is allowing a slugging percentage a hundred and forty points higher against lefties on the pitch this year. ![]() What does he need to do to better link up with his peripherals? It might just be a matter of inches. Considering his actual era is over five, and the league’s ERA is over four, that represents some upside. Other metrics favor him, as well - he’s got a 19.1% strikeout minus walk rate (13.9% is average), and most of his other ERA estimators are at four or below. His four-seam fastball (91 Stuff+) is good enough, and his locations (101 Location+) are above-average, and he locates all of his pitches at above or near-average rates. Thanks mostly to a top-fifteen slider among starting pitchers, Detmers has above-average Stuff+. The proposition might hang on this: which projection system does the opposing manager like best? The Dodgers’ lefty is projected anywhere from a 3.99 ERA (THE BAT) to 3.36 (ZiPs), and the bet here is that the latter is more correct going forward. The argument that Urías can do better to suppress balls in play in the future than he has so far this season is simple: he’s still got his elite curveball ( third-best in the big leagues), he’s added a good cutter (105 Stuff+), and his fastball is trending up with its best velo since mid-2021 in his last start. Then again … Urías threw in 2019, in which perhaps the liveliest ball ever was used, and gave up almost half as many homers per nine. Those are traditionally the biggest sources of noise in a pitcher’s early-season stat line, but they are also interesting in a season that features new rules regarding the shift and a ball that’s possibly livelier than it’s been in a couple years. This is the highest batting average on balls in play he’s ever had, and his 1.59 home run per nine rate is also his highest. You could just look at his career numbers for an answer, as he has a 2.89 career ERA and has been below three in three out of the last four years. His 圎RA is 3.77! How is this guy a buy-low? The Dodgers’ second lefty is doing just fine, with a 3.77 ERA that seems supported by his peripherals. These other pitchers, however, could have better days in front of them this season. Nick Lodolo shares a tough home park situation and is putting up a below-average Pitching+ - he still has an above-average fastball and a breaking ball that was plus last year and has only lost a tick and changed a little bit of shape, so maybe he’s an interesting pickup in dynasty situations, but he’s tough to depend on going forward this year. Though Jhony Brito sits atop this list, you can’t help but notice he’s got the lowest Stuff+ number (and a tough home park) along with inconsistent minor league numbers that make him a tough buy low. ![]() This was compiled on Wednesday, and then maybe Hunter Greene took another step toward leaving this list with a good start against the Mets at home. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |